Trump approval rating at record low as Democrats gain midterm momentum, new poll shows
Trump Approval Rating Hits Record Low of 33% as Democrats Gain Midterm Momentum, New Poll Shows
WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump’s job approval rating has fallen to 33%, marking the lowest point of his political career as Democrats capture growing enthusiasm and momentum ahead of the high-stakes November midterm elections, according to a new national poll.
The survey highlights expanding political headwinds for the administration and House Republicans, who face narrow margins to protect their legislative majorities in Congress.
Economic Frustration and Foreign Policy Drag Down Support
The decline in approval is driven primarily by persistent voter discontent over inflation, high living costs, and foreign policy developments. According to the data, 71% of Americans—including roughly four in ten Republicans—disapprove of the administration's handling of the cost of living.
Surging gasoline prices and broader energy market volatility linked to the ongoing military conflict with Iran have further weighed on public sentiment, with only 36% of respondents approving of the military engagement.
For the first time in roughly a decade, voters indicated greater trust in the Democratic Party over Republicans regarding economic stewardship, representing a major strategic shift on an issue that traditionally favored GOP candidates.
Enthusiasm Gap and Key Demographic Shifts
The polling reveals a noticeable enthusiasm gap between the two major parties as voters prepare for the midterms:
Voter Enthusiasm: 46% of self-identified Democrats describe themselves as "very enthusiastic" about voting in the upcoming midterms, compared to 31% of Republicans.
Independent Voters: Among independent voters, 36% stated they would vote for Democratic congressional candidates if the election were held today, while 22% favored Republicans.
Demographic Margins: The survey shows Democrats widening leads among suburban voters, women, and Hispanic communities, expanding generic ballot advantages in key competitive districts.
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Impact on Midterm Strategy
Trump’s approval rating sits below the lowest points recorded during his first term and drops below his predecessor Joe Biden's lowest mark of 35% in late 2024.
Trump has publicly dismissed the low polling numbers, characterizing them as partisan attacks while pledging to embark on a heavy nationwide campaign tour to bolster vulnerable House and Senate candidates. However, political analysts note that the low ratings present a tactical dilemma for Republican contenders in swing districts, where candidates must balance energizing the conservative base with appealing to independent voters wary of current economic conditions.
